PGA TOUR – #BLSPicks Win Bets & DraftKings (Deutsche Bank Championship)

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Updated: September 3, 2015
TPC Boston

DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP

TPC Boston, Norton, Massachusetts

Turn the sprinkler systems on at Plainfield Country Club, because Jason Day absolutely torched the place. Day’s victory at The Barclays was his 4th of the season and the 3rd in his last 4 starts. Some have even said that Day could steal Player of the Year honors from Jordan Spieth with another win in the Playoffs and a Fed Ex Cup title. I still think Spieth takes POY with his unbelievable run in the Majors, but Day’s performance over the last month has been nothing short of spectacular. As a result of Day’s win, the odds get shorter and shorter each week for the top players in the world as they continue to dominate the biggest tournament of the season. The BLS win bets were shutout last week, with Dustin Johnson being our best finisher at T-9th – but nobody was going to catch Day the way he played on the weekend. As for DraftKings, we didn’t get shutout, but we were not profitable either. We are beyond due to find a winner as the Tour moves to the Boston area for the 2nd event of the Playoffs.

Of the 100 players eligible to play at the Deutsche Bank Championship, 98 will tee it up on Friday as the PGA Tour will once again play the final round of the tournament on Labor Day. With the way the points are structured this year in the Playoffs, players between 70th and 100th in the Fed Ex Cup standings will have to have a good week in Boston to advance to the BMW in 2 weeks which only has room for the Top-70. Anyone in the 80-100 ranks in the standings will need a Top-5 finish this week to gain a spot in Chicago. TPC Boston is consistently one of the easiest par 71s on the PGA Tour schedule and there have not been any significant changes this year to derail what should be another birdie barrage this week in Beantown. Defending champion, Chris Kirk, will tee it up for the 2nd straight week after coming back from a broken hand that sidelined him for most of the summer. The weather looks to be absolutely perfect all Labor Day weekend long with temperatures in the 80s and moderate winds throughout (it’s about time the PGA Tour doesn’t have to worry about a weather delay). Here’s who our money is on this week at the Deutsche Bank Championship.

 

 

DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP WIN BETS

Jordan SpiethJordan Spieth — (9-1) 

When Jordan Spieth gets 9-1 odds, you take Jordan Spieth with 9-1 odds. This is as good as the odds have been for Spieth since The Masters, mainly due to Jason Day’s outstanding play of late. Spieth got some much-needed rest last week after missing the cut at The Barclays on a course which he admitted prior to the tournament “didn’t fit his eye”. The same cannot be said for Spieth at TPC Boston as he finished T-4th at The Deutsche Bank in his 2013 debut, which included a final round 62. I look for Spieth to have increased motivation this week as he has fallen to #2 in the Fed Ex Cup standings and the Official World Golf Rankings after last week’s performance.

 

Tony FinauTony Finau — (65-1)

Tony Finau will also have plenty of motivation this week as he battles Justin Thomas for Rookie of the Year honors on the PGA Tour. Thomas has been one of my favorite DraftKings players all year long and I have placed numerous bets on him as well (which haven’t yet paid off), but Finau has been the better player of late so my money will go on the long hitting 25-year-old from Utah in Boston this Labor Day Weekend. Finau followed up his Top-10 at the PGA Championship with a solid T-16th last week. Like Thomas, it seems it’s only a matter of time before Tony finds the winner’s circle. He currently sits at 32nd in the Fed Ex Cup standings and has a great shot to make it to the Tour Championship in Atlanta in 3 weeks.

 

Kevin KisnerKevin Kisner — (78-1)

Kevin Kisner has also been one of my favorite Fantasy Golf players this year as he’s had an outstanding break out season on the PGA Tour. Amazingly, he sits at 13th in the Fed Ex Cup standings without a win this year, on the strength of 3 2nd place finishes (all in playoffs in which he played extremely well). Kisner played well last week finishing T-20th at The Barclays and would have a real shot to win the Fed Ex Cup if he could garner a win this week in Boston or at the BMW in 2 weeks time.

 

Carlos OrtizCarlos Ortiz — (300-1)

Carlos Ortiz fired a 62 in the 3rd round of the Barclays last weekend. For that reason alone I have to take him at 300-1 odds. He’ll need a good week to get into the field at the BMW in 2 weeks as he currently is in 83rd place in the Fed Ex Cup standings. As I told you 2 weeks ago, Ortiz knows how to win – he won 3 Web.com Tour events in 2014 to secure his card for this season and he would have a real chance to steal PGA Tour Rookie of the Year from Finau or Thomas with a win in the playoffs.

 

Field — (4-1)

I suspect most oddsmakers feel that one of the Top-5 players in the world will win this week, as they have in almost every big tournament this season. With that said, I’ll gladly take 64 of the 98 players competing this week with a 4-1 field bet. Included in the field this week are names like Billy Horschel and Charlie Hoffmann who have found past success at TPC Boston as well as numerous players who have won on Tour over the past couple of seasons.

 

 

Last Week Review:

THE BARCLAYS

Plainfield Country Club, Edison, New Jersey

Dustin Johnson — (12-1) 

Finish: T-9th ($231,000)

Justin Rose — (12-1)

Finish: T-16th ($127,875)

Matt Kuchar — (35-1)

Finish: T-39th ($33,000)

Brandt Snedeker — (32-1)

Finish: MC ($0)    

Danny Lee — (72-1)

Finish: T-30th ($46,933.33)

David Lingmerth — (80-1)

Finish: MC ($0)

Nick Watney — (125-1)

Finish: MC ($0)

Jason Gore — (225-1)

Finish: T-30th ($46,933.33)

Scott Brown — (252-1)

Finish: MC ($0)

 

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DK DTG

 

Final Busch League Sports DraftKings Lineups: DEUTSCHE BANK CHAMPIONSHIP

DK DBC

 

DraftKings Review: THE BARCLAYS

What the hell happened to David Lingmerth in the 1st round of The Barclays Championship? Lingmerth, who had been one of the best players all summer long on Tour suddenly forgot how to play golf last Thursday and finished with an 8-over-par 78 to all but ruin many DraftKings teams chances at a decent payout last week. He was the lone bad pick we had last week and we were able to cash in one double up contest to avoid getting shutout another week. Let’s turn this ship around in Boston.

DK TB 2

Dk TB 1

 

DK DTG

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Previous Week’s Picks & Analysis: