#BLSPicks NFL Week 2 – Monday Night Football

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Updated: September 15, 2014
colts chear

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Key: Units = Size of wager. Let’s say a unit = $1. A 1 Unit Wager = $1.

 10-5-1 Start +25 Units Overall – 6-1-1 on Week 2 – Plays and Documentation

NFL Week 2

Monday, September 15th, 2014 NFL

Philadelphia Eagles @ Indianapolis Colts -3 5:30P PST ESPN

the Play:

Colts -3 5 Units

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The Why:

So many reasons to like Indy at home here. Since Luck showed up in 2012 he has been superb at home, superb after a loss and superb vs. the NFC.  The Eagles have a beat up OL and their secondary allowed Henne to throw for 265 and 2 td’s.   I have a hunch that Trent Richardson might have a decent showing tonight after Luck establishes the pass game.   Seeing how the Redskins with their 2nd string QB torched the Jags – doesn’t bode well for me seeing the Eagles struggle with Jags most of last week.  Also, the Colts offense did WHATEVER they wanted in Denver 2nd half.  That kind of offensive prowess is what I expect all game long at home.  Confident play.  Also lean Over 54 but only playing the -3

 

 

 

Sunday, September 14th, 2014 NFL

Late Add: Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers -7

The Play:

Bears +7  5 units (WINNER)

Game #1: Dallas Cowboys @ Tennessee Titans -3.5 10:00A PST FOX

The Play: 

Cowboys +3.5 5 Units (WINNER)

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The Why:

You could say Romo posted a terrible performance last week vs. the vaunted Niner Defense.  Watching the game in it’s entirety, Romo really only made 1 bad mistake on the pick towards the end zone.  What I actually saw was a stout defensive performance by the boys all second half.  Sure, the Defense leaves a lot to be desired and will give up points this year, but that offense is a well-oiled machine that WILL score tomorrow.  3.5 is too much tomorrow and I look for the boys to win straight up.  Further, the last time these teams met, Romo absolutely torched this secondary, throwing for 400.  He likes playing in Tennessee and will bring a focused performance tomorrow.

The Titans best defender, middle linebacker, Zach Brown is out for the season.   A tough loss for a defense that played quite well in KC last week.  Should we get excited about this blow out in Kansas City?  I don’t think so.  KC was given a lot of help from an extremely soft schedule last year and all that success will likely be a thing of the past.  Tennessee has a ample stable of running backs and a good duel threat QB in Locker – but Dallas has historically done well when they can load up on the run. Still not impressed with the Titan passing game.

 

Game #2: Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers -2.5 10:00A PST FOX

The Play:

Lions +3 (Buy the hook) 5 Units (LOSER)

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We backed these Lions on Monday night and it paid off to do so.  While Stafford and Johnson got theirs, the more impressive piece is what the Lions did on Defense.  Sure, it’s the NY Football Giants and they suck balls, but the Lions grabbed two Picks, sacked Manning twice and hurried him all day.  What is that this anemic Panther O plans to do against Suh and the boys?  We faded Carolina last week with the Bucs and accept the loss but there is no way Carolina delivers a truck tomorrow on the Lions.  Again, we like the new found discipline post-Schwartz who was a complete clown.

 

Game #4: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Washington Redskins -6 10:00A PST CBS

The Play:

Redskins -6 5 Units (WINNER)

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The why:

Skins plan to showcase their new weapons on offense.  If RG3 doesn’t turn the ball over, this thing is over quickly.  Lay it with confidence.

 

Game #3: New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers -7.5 1:25P PST  CBS

The Play:

Green Bay Packers -7  5 Units (PUSH)

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The Why:

A rare square play for BLS here.  Sure, the Pack caught a buzz saw at Century Link last week and we took the loss on the play.  A Rodg did what we didn’t think he would: get absolutely distracted all game. Pretty disappointing to see the Hawks carve up a great offense like the Packers.  Fast-forward to Sunday and a home game up in Wisconsin is just what the doctor ordered.  The Jets actually have a little ownage on the Pack over the last few meetings, but exhibit zero on offense.  Pack win decidedly here.  Lay the juice with confidence.

 

 

 

Thursday, September 11th, 2014 NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens -2.5 NFL Network/CBS

The Play:

Ravens -2.5 5 Units (WINNER)

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The Why:

We predicted a low scoring affair in Baltimore last week and the under hit with relative ease.  This prediction was made based upon the Rice suspension and Flacco’s inability to create offense with this right arm.  All that goes out the window tonight, as this Steelers defense showed little to be desired vs. the lowly Brown-Eyes of Cleveland last week. Hoyer was able to do anything he wanted in that second half with a bunch of no-name receivers.

Incredibly, 10 of the past 12 games between the Ravens and Steelers have been decided by three points or fewer. Since 2008, Ravens coach John Harbaugh’s first season, the teams have split the regular-season series at six wins apiece.  Clearly, the history is weighing heavy on the spread Vegas has kicked out for this matchup.  That, coupled with the obvious Ray Rice distraction and the Public is backing the Steelers on a 60-40 split.  We’re not buying it.  Distraction is a main-stay in NFL locker rooms, in fact, most players love distraction and the ability to speak about it with the press.

Ladarius Webb’s ability to play and play well tonight is a huge variable, but even without him; I look for the Ravens to win comfortably at home tonight.  This of course, depends on whether Mike Tomlin trips a Ravens receiver or not.

Bet the Ravens and do it with confidence.