#BLSPicks College Football Week 13 – Thursday

By
Updated: November 20, 2014
NCAA Final Four - West Virginia v Duke

Welcome to the BLS Sportsbook! We’ve been at it for years, finding the best games that consistently put money in our pockets. We’ll be dropping plays all season long, so grab your balls and let’s make some money!

Key: Units = Size of wager. Let’s say a unit = $1. A 1 Unit Wager = $1.

34-39 on the year -32 Units

1-1 on the week – Time to turn around into profitability. Figure we’ve had enough turnovers, point shaving and bad bounces to last a lifetime this season in college football.  

 

Thursday, November 20th, 2014 College Football

Kansas State @ West Virginia 4:00P PST FS1 

The Play:

West Virginia -2.5 5 Units

wvu helmet logo

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

No time for write-ups.

 

Arkansas State @ Texas State 6:30P PST ESPNU

The Play:

Arkansas State -5.5 5 Units

arkansas-state

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wednesday, November 19th, 2014 College Football – MACtion

Bowling Green @ Toledo 5:00P PST ESPN2

The Play:

Bowling Green/Toledo Over 56 Game Total (Loser) – dropped td in the end zone and another bounce goes against us.  Keep pushing along.  breaks will come.  

bowling green

 

 

 

 

Helmet_Toledo1

 

 

 

The Why:

Mac weekday games have been playing to the under so often, that it’s almost insane to play an over here.  In fact, take a look at how often both Bowling Green and Toledo play to the under in 2014:

BG Toledo

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bowling Green has played to the under 6 of the last 10, including 5 straight.  Toledo has played to the under 4 of 10 times, but the under has hit two times in a row.

Why is this an over play?  Because each teams offensive strengths are the weaknesses of the defenses they’ll face tonight.  Bowling Green team defense ranks 90th in the country against the run, surrendering almost 200 yards per game on the ground.  Against the pass, they’re even worse, surrendering 323 Passing Yards Per Game for a ranking of 127th in the country. Toledo ranks 125th in the country against the pass, surrendering 303 yards threw the air.

Let’s take a look at how these offenses stack up against these terrible d’s:  Toledo averages 240 on the ground for a national ranking of 19th and 61st in the pass game, averaging 233 through the air.  BGSU on the other hand. ranks 24th in the country, averaging 281 yards per game via the pass and 59th in the country via the ground with 166 rushing yards per game.

To sum this simple analysis up, both teams are great offensively, but are terrible against the pass.  56 is too low a number even considering weather conditions at Bowling Green tonight.

Good luck.

 

Tuesday, November 18th, 2014 College Football – MACtion

UMass @ Akron 5:00P PST ESP3

The Play: Akron -9 5 Units (Winner)

akron helmet